by John A. Sutter
in California
in California
For decades I have heard gun owners claim
that the government would never be able to confiscate our firearms because the
government would lose too many men. The
implication being, of course, that gun owners would actively resist
confiscation, even to the point of shooting back. But I believe this thinking is outdated and
doesn’t align very well with reality.
But before you tell me how big your honor guard in Hell will be when that
day comes, let’s think about how the government could really do it.
Suppose, for the sake of argument, the
government bans all civilian possession of firearms at the end of this
month. Congress passes a total ban and
the President cuts his own re-election throat by signing it. Gun owners get some grace period to turn them
in, even beyond the deadline, without being charged with a crime. If we use Australia and Britain as examples
there will still be a significant number of firearms that are not turned
in. Some estimates put the Australian
turn-in at less than 25% and the British faired only about 28%. But Australians and the British have long
been used to obeying almost every gun control law. Not so the Americans. When
laws are passed that we don’t like, we bite. We scratch. We vote.
So here we sit after the guns have been collected and the amnesties have
run out. Now what? Send out the personnel carriers, swat and
shock troops to seize the guns from those militia “terrorists” who refused to
turn them in? Don’t be silly.
The government has lots of records about you.
If you purchased a firearm since 1968, chances are that they have some record of
it somewhere. Most likely, it will take
quite some time for them to compile all the serial numbers of “surrendered” guns
(surrendered essentially at gunpoint) and cross off the ones you turned in. It’ll take more time for them to attempt to
“clean up” their data. Say, about two
years, maybe three. Add to that the hordes of people keypunching in hundreds of
thousands of sales and registration records from hundreds of gun stores forced
out of business. At some point the
government decides they have something approaching a “good” database of
unaccounted-for guns.
The next thing you’ll get from the government
is an official looking notice that they think you still have a firearm. Their
information will probably include all the information from registration forms,
right down to the serial number. That
notice will tell you that you’re in violation of the law, subject to prosecution
and imprisonment. It will give you some
period of time to surrender the gun. It
will also give you a very limited number of days to return the form with an
explanation of why you don’t have the gun, any proof you have, and your
signature that the gun was lawfully disposed of. For many people the idea that the government
“knows” they didn’t turn in that pistol or rifle and they have the detailed
information about it will be enough to get them to surrender the gun. Some
people will ignore the letter, others will scrawl a note that “I sold this in
1982 in a private sale”. After some time, the government will figure out how
many guns are still out there and what the “compliance rate” is with the gun
ban. More importantly, they’ll start
sorting their database by the number of guns someone supposedly has
“unaccounted”.
If you think they’ll come at these
multiple-gun owners with a swat team, guess again. Their most likely tactic will be yet another
letter (maybe two more) that generate what they’ll call “insufficient
responses”. That means they can’t track
a gun after you owned it. This they’ll
use as fodder for a search warrant and/or perjury charges at a later date if
they can. My guess is that the time
between April and August will be a bad time for a lot of “former” gun owners.
Remember that the BATF is an arm of the Treasury department and they control the
IRS. You’ll probably get a notice in
the mail that the IRS has some questions about your taxes or wants to audit
you. When you make the appointment to
visit the IRS they will pass that information to the BATF. While you are sweating over your deductions,
the BATF and local police will execute a search warrant and search your home
looking for guns. With you safely off
site and distracted, essentially forced into “the royal presence” of the IRS
they will snag your guns. Expect them to
use slow-scan and ground penetrating radar to search walls, yards, under the
patio or deck, the basement, etc. You
might even find your hot tub has been drained and moved. Yes, they’ll search your car in the IRS
parking lot too.
If you are one of the those people they
suspect of having multiple guns and they don’t find any guns at your home,
expect them to find and search storage facilities, safety deposit boxes and
other places you might use. Warn your relatives who live nearby that they can
expect a visit too, even (or perhaps especially) if they never owned a gun. If
they are thorough, I’d expect the government agents to check your neighbors to
see which of them previously owned a gun and perhaps search their homes, arguing
that your neighbor could have held your
guns while agents searched your home. Remember that at this point the government
authorities don’t have much to fear from the general population. And by the time
your complaints are run through the mill, rejected and turned into lawsuits,
they’ll have changed the rules.
But you only have one gun you say? Fine. They won’t come looking for it. But
they will make sure that possession of ammunition is also a serious crime. Don’t
leave any loose cartridges around and where will you hide that case of ammo you
rushed out to buy? Expect any “gun parts” to be made illegal at some point in
time too. Spare magazines, maybe even old cleaning kits. Anything that says
“gun” will be interpreted as “probable cause” to search your entire home. Also expect that you can never use that gun
without becoming a serious felon in the eyes of the government. Even if some thug has repeatedly stabbed you
with a large knife and threatened to rape your six year old daughter, they won’t
forgive you for having the gun. They may
even give you extra penalties for using it to save your family. Especially if you are one of the first few
hundred people caught this way, they will use you to “set an example”. This will cause people to “bury” their guns
away in hiding places, making them all but useless. If the government does come to confiscate it,
you won’t be able to get to it fast enough and they will probably find it.
You’ve moved several times since you bought a
gun? Remember showing your ID when you
bought a gun? Remember writing down your place of birth? Why do you think the government has so many
computers? Linking you to your new
driver’s license in another state shouldn’t be too hard. Besides, the Treasury
folks know where you work. Think you’re safe because you had unregistered
guns? Think again. I would expect that
the government’s database will contain a lot of old data. Some of it might indicate that a gun was sold
to a resident at your address. If they
can tie you to ammo sales or range use with your credit card in the previous 2
years you might get a surprise visit. Or
that seller might have remembered you bought that gun from him and filled out
his gun notice to get “off the hook” for that gun.
The point of this article is that by thinking
in limited terms of a “raid” to confiscate guns we lose sight of the alternative
methods the government can use. Put yourself in the government’s position and
think of your own methods to avoid a conflict.
Meanwhile, let’s ensure that every
gun owner votes for gun rights
this year and the next. You can think of a thousand excuses not to vote, not
to help a campaign, not to help another gun owner register to vote. I can think
of one important reason to do all of those.
Liberty!
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